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Predicting The Next Black Swan

July 30, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
Predicting The Next Black Swan

Of course the title is a joke as a true black swan is not reasonably predictable, at least not by more than a couple of people. Businessweek has an recent interview with Nassim Taleb whom I always enjoy reading.Here is one quote I liked; "People think ...
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Elusive Low Correlations

July 29, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
Elusive Low Correlations

Two items today from yesterday's FT Alphaville.One was part of an ongoing dialogue about correlation having increased lately and the extent to which high frequency trading (HFT) and the popularity of ETFs might be contributing to the problem. Concerns ...
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Damn, Three Two Times

July 28, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
Damn, Three Two Times

On Monday the S&P 500 closed above it's 200 DMA so I was prepared to sell our current inverse ETF position which is the ProShares Ultra Short Dow 30 (DXD) on Tuesday near the close. Typically I wait for a second straight day, which would have been ...
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More Lists

July 27, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
More Lists

Yesterday was a day for blog lists. In addition to the investing essentials list I posted, Brett Arends post a list of investing cliches that he debunked and Tech Ticker re-ran a list of 23 stats that "prove" the middle class is "being systematically w...
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Ten Essentials

July 26, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
Ten Essentials

This weekend I stumbled across a hiking term that I'd never heard before; the Ten Essentials. The Ten Essentials are a suggested list of what everyone who goes hiking should have with them just in case.The ten per Wikipedia;* Map* Compass* Sunglasses &...
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The Big Picture for the Week of July 25, 2010

July 24, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
The Big Picture for the Week of July 25, 2010

Businessweek posted a lengthy article called Amber Waves of Pain which is about the extent to which investors are not getting what they expected from commodity based ETFs. Obviously the US Oil Fund (USO) and US Natural Gas (UNG) have gotten the most at...
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The Book Of Eli

July 23, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
The Book Of Eli

Yesterday I watched the movie The Book of Eli (hat tip Paul). It is a post apocalyptic flick about a guy who really knows how to handle himself. Without giving the movie away, as you can imagine resources are quite scarce--I winced a little when I thre...
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ETF Goings On

July 22, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
ETF Goings On

AdvisorShares is back with its second actively managed ETF. Recently it launched a long short fund which you can read about here and yesterday came the WCM/BNY Mellon Focused Growth ADR ETF (AADR). If it is not clear it will only invest in ADRs be they...
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New Paragidm? No Investor Confidence? Is It Really That Bad?

July 21, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
New Paragidm? No Investor Confidence? Is It Really That Bad?

I don't know. Ok everybody, thanks for coming by!Just kidding. Yesterday I found a triple play of especially provocative woe is the investing world articles. Some of these articles are blatant marketing ploys while some, IMO the three yesterday, ask go...
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iShares Rolls Out A Suite of Foreign Sector ETFs

July 19, 2010
By Roger Nusbaum
iShares Rolls Out A Suite of Foreign Sector ETFs

iShares very quietly rolled rolled out nine foreign sector ETFs on Friday although IndexUniverse did notice the rollout. iShares was early to market with sector funds that combine both foreign and domestic stock in one fund but these are foreign only. ...
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